Newport County vs Hartlepool United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
NEW
1 - 1
COL
24%
25%
51%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
STE
3 - 1
NEW
69%
18%
13%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
WYC
2 - 1
NEW
66%
22%
13%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 4
EXE
30%
26%
44%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Hartlepool United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
2 - 0
STE
33%
26%
42%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
CRA
1 - 0
HAR
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
HAR
0 - 1
GRI
29%
26%
44%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2017 |
STA
2 - 2
HAR
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 2
MOR
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |