Newport County vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
CRA
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CUM
0 - 1
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
DAG
0 - 0
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
1 - 2
MOR
29%
26%
45%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NEW
0 - 3
YOR
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
OPA
1 - 2
EXE
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
0 - 2
WYC
33%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
STA
4 - 2
EXE
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
1 - 0
HAR
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
EXE
4 - 0
LEY
30%
27%
43%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |