FA Trophy . 1/512
Global 4-3
Newcastle Town vs Goole analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
QUO
0 - 0
NEW
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
STA
2 - 3
NEW
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
LIN
1 - 1
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2010 |
NEW
5 - 2
RUS
34%
25%
41%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +4 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
SPA
3 - 3
NEW
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Goole
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2010 |
GOO
1 - 0
GLA
32%
22%
46%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
BEL
0 - 1
GOO
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2010 |
GOO
2 - 1
GRA
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2010 |
BAR
4 - 1
GOO
60%
20%
20%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
GOO
0 - 1
BEL
34%
24%
43%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |