Newcastle Jets vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
47%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
10º
42
2º
9º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Newcastle Jets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
WPH
2 - 1
NEW
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 3
WUF
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MFC
0 - 1
NEW
49%
26%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
2 - 1
MEL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
NEW
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 2
MCI
33%
25%
41%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 1
ADE
37%
25%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
4 - 4
WES
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WUF
2 - 3
ADE
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |