New Jersey Copa vs Westchester Flames analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
New Jersey Copa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
MOE
0 - 2
NJC
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LON
2 - 0
NJC
85%
10%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
NJC
1 - 3
TOR
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
ATC
3 - 0
NJC
76%
14%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
WCU
8 - 2
NJC
79%
13%
9%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Westchester Flames
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2021 |
WES
0 - 2
LON
12%
17%
71%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
WES
1 - 2
CSR
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
WES
2 - 3
NEW
66%
17%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
WES
3 - 3
SEA
40%
23%
37%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
MSC
3 - 2
WES
82%
11%
7%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |