Nesebar vs Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nesebar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NES
0 - 2
CSK
30%
27%
43%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
OFK
1 - 3
NES
60%
22%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
NES
0 - 0
LOV
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
NES
1 - 3
LUD
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
STR
2 - 2
NES
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Gorna Lokomotiv Oryahovitsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
LOK
0 - 2
OFK
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ARK
0 - 1
LOK
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LOV
0 - 1
LOK
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 0
STR
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
LOK
1 - 1
DUN
22%
22%
56%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | +1 |