Necaxa vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
NEC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 2
NEC
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 3
NEC
45%
29%
27%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
MER
62%
23%
15%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
2 - 0
PUM
68%
20%
12%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 0
ATL
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
JAG
2 - 0
TOL
40%
27%
34%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
TOL
1 - 1
AME
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 0
TOL
40%
26%
34%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |