Necaxa vs San Luis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
6 - 4
IRA
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
UDG
1 - 1
NEC
28%
30%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 1
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 0
JAG
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
CAF
2 - 0
NEC
37%
30%
32%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
0 - 1
CHI
43%
28%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 1
MON
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 1
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 3
SNL
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
2 - 0
PUM
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |