Necaxa vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
32.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
PUE
2 - 2
NEC
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEC
1 - 2
MON
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
AUR
1 - 2
NEC
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 0
NEC
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
NEC
2 - 0
PAC
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 1
ATS
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAZ
2 - 1
CHI
44%
26%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
GAL
2 - 0
CHI
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAC
34%
25%
40%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
QRO
2 - 2
CHI
31%
28%
41%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |