Naval vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
37.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
POR
4 - 3
NAV
29%
26%
45%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
NAV
1 - 2
VST
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
UDL
2 - 2
NAV
52%
27%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SLB
2 - 1
NAV
72%
19%
9%
|
67 | 87 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
NAV
0 - 1
AVE
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2007 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
25%
27%
49%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
SCP
4 - 0
BEL
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 0
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
SPB
2 - 1
BEL
54%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 0
BMA
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |