Náutico vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1982 |
FLA
1 - 1
NAU
81%
13%
6%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1982 |
SAO
1 - 1
NAU
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1982 |
NAU
2 - 3
FER
73%
17%
10%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 1982 |
NAU
1 - 4
SAO
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
NAU
3 - 4
FLA
30%
29%
41%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
TRE
2 - 0
FER
67%
20%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1982 |
TRE
1 - 3
FLA
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1982 |
TRE
0 - 3
SAO
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1982 |
FLA
5 - 0
TRE
89%
7%
3%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1982 |
FER
0 - 2
TRE
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |