Série A . Semi-finals
Global 1-2
Náutico vs Santos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
24.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
NAU
4 - 1
SPO
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1983 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
PAL
6 - 0
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 1
NAU
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
SAN
2 - 2
GOI
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1983 |
GOI
0 - 0
SAN
46%
29%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
NAU
0 - 1
SAN
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
VAS
2 - 0
SAN
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -2 |