Náutico vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
BOT
0 - 2
NAU
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
NAU
1 - 0
FLU
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
SAN
0 - 3
NAU
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
NAU
1 - 3
GUA
50%
26%
25%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
NAU
1 - 1
ATM
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
COR
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1985 |
SAO
0 - 2
COR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1985 |
COR
1 - 0
SAN
58%
23%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1985 |
COR
1 - 1
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1985 |
FLA
2 - 0
COR
74%
16%
10%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |