Náutico vs Boa EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
PAR
3 - 0
NAU
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 1
SCI
19%
28%
53%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
OES
1 - 0
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
BRA
48%
27%
26%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAU
54%
26%
21%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Boa EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 0
GOI
34%
28%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 0
BOA
46%
29%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 2
GUA
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
BOA
1 - 1
FFL
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
OES
4 - 1
BOA
44%
29%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |