Nardò vs Brindisi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
NAR
64%
22%
15%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
3 - 1
SOR
26%
28%
47%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
1 - 0
AUD
29%
29%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
USB
1 - 0
NAR
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
NAR
2 - 0
LAV
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Brindisi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 1
RAA
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
SOR
22%
26%
52%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 3
VIR
25%
25%
50%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
BRI
1 - 1
PUT
72%
17%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 0
BRI
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |