Napoli vs Sassuolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
4º
1º
45
8º
20º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
74 | 74 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
62 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 64 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
63 | 63 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
56 | 56 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
53 | 53 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 46 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
45 | 45 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
18º
|
0% | |
|
19º
|
27 | 27 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
19 | 19 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 0
GLA
82%
12%
6%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ROM
0 - 1
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
3 - 2
BOL
83%
12%
5%
|
91 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 2
AJA
57%
21%
22%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USC
1 - 4
NAP
12%
20%
68%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sassuolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
2 - 1
VER
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAS
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
1 - 2
INT
20%
23%
57%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SAS
5 - 0
SAL
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
SAS
42%
24%
34%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |