Nairn County vs Turriff United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nairn County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAI
85%
10%
5%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 1
LOS
75%
15%
11%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
NAI
0 - 1
FOR
25%
24%
51%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
NAI
1 - 2
HUN
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
CLA
2 - 1
NAI
12%
17%
71%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Turriff United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
TUR
17%
18%
65%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 7
BRO
4%
11%
85%
|
18 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
3 - 2
FOR
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | +3 |
| 16 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 3
ROT
6%
15%
79%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
STR
2 - 1
TUR
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |