Nacional vs Sporting Braga II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.2%
12.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
6 - 0
POR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
NAC
2 - 1
OLI
67%
21%
13%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ACV
3 - 3
NAC
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 1
SPC
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
FAM
3 - 2
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 0
FAM
52%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 3
BRA
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
1 - 3
ARO
31%
27%
42%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
LEX
1 - 1
BRA
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 0
PEN
35%
26%
39%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |