Nacional vs Real Sport Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.3%
11.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
5 - 4
NAC
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CON
1 - 3
NAC
5%
11%
84%
|
67 | 18 | 49 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
NAC
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
ACV
62%
23%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
SPC
0 - 1
NAC
35%
27%
38%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sport Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
REA
1 - 1
FAM
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
MER
3 - 1
REA
22%
24%
54%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
REA
3 - 1
PEN
33%
28%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2017 |
BEN
3 - 0
REA
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
VSC
4 - 3
REA
58%
24%
18%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |