Nacional vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
26.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2011 |
ACA
4 - 0
NAC
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 4
VIT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2011 |
BIR
3 - 0
NAC
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
BIR
48%
25%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
PAÇ
2 - 3
SCP
25%
25%
50%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
FEI
0 - 0
PAÇ
27%
27%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
UDL
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
VST
2 - 1
PAÇ
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
PAÇ
3 - 0
SPO
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |