Nacional vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
PEN
1 - 1
NAC
22%
24%
54%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
ACA
62%
23%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
5 - 1
VIL
72%
19%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
MAF
1 - 1
NAC
30%
25%
45%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
LEX
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
0 - 1
LEX
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ACV
1 - 1
BEN
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
2 - 0
COV
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
BEN
51%
25%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
BEN
4 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |