Nacional PR vs CE Uniao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional PR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PST
1 - 0
NPR
73%
17%
10%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
IGU
1 - 0
NPR
33%
21%
46%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NPR
2 - 0
VER
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
CAB
1 - 1
NPR
39%
22%
39%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
NPR
3 - 3
PRU
26%
25%
50%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
CE Uniao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PRU
1 - 1
CEU
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
CEU
0 - 0
AEC
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
IND
2 - 1
CEU
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CEU
3 - 2
PST
29%
23%
48%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CEU
1 - 1
APU
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |