Nacional vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
NAC
22%
28%
50%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CSY
1 - 2
NAC
23%
27%
50%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 0
TOR
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
NAC
2 - 2
REN
74%
18%
8%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 0
CSY
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
0 - 2
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
CSC
1 - 3
PEÑ
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
REN
1 - 2
CSC
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CSC
2 - 2
MWA
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |