Nacional vs Sportivo San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
RÑU
1 - 1
NAC
41%
27%
33%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 1
LIG
38%
29%
33%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 3
NAC
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
SAN
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sportivo San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 2
GUA
18%
23%
59%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
LIB
24%
28%
48%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LQE
2 - 1
SPO
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 1
OLI
22%
26%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 1
SPO
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |