Nacional vs Club River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
16.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 2
NAC
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
RÑU
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
NAC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
GUA
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
0 - 2
NAC
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Club River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 4
AME
35%
28%
38%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
CCP
4 - 0
RPA
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RPA
2 - 4
DEP
23%
24%
53%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
RPA
0 - 2
LQE
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
GEN
1 - 0
RPA
54%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |