Nacional vs General Caballero JLM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
9º
12º
12º
14
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 40 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 40 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 36 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 33 |
4º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 32 |
5º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 31 |
6º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 30 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 27 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 25 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
|
10º
|
14 | 22 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
CCP
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
NAC
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
SPT
1 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
General Caballero JLM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
JLM
2 - 1
TAC
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 1
OLI
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AME
1 - 2
JLM
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
JLM
52%
24%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |