Nacional vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LIB
0 - 2
NAC
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 0
IND
55%
24%
22%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
SPT
1 - 1
NAC
36%
27%
36%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
GEN
45%
26%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 2
AME
56%
23%
21%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 1
CCP
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
4 - 1
LQE
58%
23%
20%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
RÑU
0 - 3
CCP
24%
26%
50%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CCP
3 - 1
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |