Nacional AM vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
AFC
2 - 2
NAC
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 2
IRA
65%
18%
17%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
PAY
0 - 0
NAC
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 63 | 27 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAY
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCH
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
2 - 0
FAS
71%
19%
10%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
MAN
3 - 0
SAO
78%
15%
7%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
BRU
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BRU
2 - 2
MAN
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 0
JAC
45%
26%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |