Nacional AM vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
PRI
0 - 0
NAC
49%
26%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
AFC
21%
21%
58%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +3 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAC
52%
24%
24%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAN
12%
20%
68%
|
27 | 54 | 27 | +2 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 1
NAC
23%
22%
55%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
FAS
0 - 0
MEC
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
PRI
1 - 1
FAS
52%
25%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
FAS
1 - 1
IRA
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
AFC
1 - 1
FAS
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
FAS
2 - 0
JCF
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 8 | 22 | 0 |