Nacional AM vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
45.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1979 |
NAC
2 - 4
VNG
34%
29%
37%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 1
CEA
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1979 |
DBO
2 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1979 |
CRZ
4 - 1
NAC
78%
16%
7%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
NAC
1 - 0
BAH
21%
30%
49%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1980 |
SCI
1 - 0
CRZ
52%
25%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1980 |
CRZ
0 - 2
GUA
56%
25%
19%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1980 |
CRZ
0 - 0
PAL
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1980 |
CRZ
2 - 0
SPO
63%
22%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
FLU
0 - 0
CRZ
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |