NAC Breda vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
41.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
AJA
2 - 2
NAC
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 0
VIT
48%
25%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 1
VVV
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAC
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
EXC
64%
21%
15%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SCH
1 - 1
RKC
63%
20%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
RJC
1 - 2
SCH
37%
25%
38%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
4 - 0
ADO
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2011 |
SCH
6 - 1
HAR
83%
11%
6%
|
75 | 47 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
UTR
1 - 4
SCH
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |