NAC Breda vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EXC
3 - 0
NAC
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
25%
25%
50%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
NAC
77%
15%
8%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
ADO
3 - 0
NAC
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
SCH
33%
25%
42%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GRA
0 - 2
SCH
16%
21%
62%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2012 |
BAY
3 - 0
GRA
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2012 |
FCN
4 - 1
GRA
67%
21%
13%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
HER
4 - 0
GRA
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
GRA
1 - 3
RKC
34%
26%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |