NAC Breda vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
57.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
UTR
2 - 0
NAC
51%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCH
42%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
UTR
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
70%
18%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2004 |
TWE
0 - 0
NAC
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2005 |
AJA
1 - 2
TWE
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2005 |
AJA
2 - 0
SCH
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
UTR
0 - 2
AJA
24%
24%
53%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
GRO
0 - 4
AJA
14%
22%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |