MVV Maastricht vs Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
11.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
MVV
1 - 3
PSV
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1974 |
ADO
1 - 1
MVV
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1974 |
MVV
0 - 2
TEL
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
SPA
1 - 1
MVV
70%
18%
11%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
MVV
4 - 1
GRA
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
EXC
0 - 0
ADO
30%
31%
39%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
AJA
2 - 0
EXC
92%
6%
2%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1973 |
ADO
1 - 1
EXC
78%
16%
6%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1973 |
EXC
4 - 1
BOS
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1973 |
TWE
2 - 0
EXC
87%
9%
4%
|
59 | 87 | 28 | 0 |