Murici vs Bom Jesus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murici
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
MUR
3 - 1
PEN
66%
18%
16%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
CSE
2 - 2
MUR
40%
23%
37%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 1
COR
47%
23%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
CRB
2 - 2
MUR
79%
14%
7%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
ASA
2 - 1
MUR
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bom Jesus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2005 |
COR
2 - 3
BJE
76%
15%
9%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
BJE
1 - 3
COR
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2005 |
BJE
3 - 0
DSA
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 13 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
CSE
2 - 2
BJE
69%
18%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
BJE
3 - 1
CRB
9%
16%
75%
|
29 | 64 | 35 | +2 |