Apertura Guatemala . Final
Global 2-3
Municipal vs Antigua GFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Municipal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2017 |
DEP
0 - 3
MUN
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 1
DEP
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
GUA
45%
28%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 1
MUN
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
VEN
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Antigua GFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 0
COB
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2017 |
COB
1 - 0
ANT
47%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ANT
4 - 0
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
COM
2 - 1
ANT
48%
27%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
ANT
1 - 1
MUN
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |