3. Liga round 18

MSV Duisburg vs Bayern München II analysis

MSV Duisburg Bayern München II
67 ELO 57
12.8% Tilt 9.7%
1325º General ELO ranking 2019º
57º Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
64.5%
MSV Duisburg
20%
Draw
15.5%
Bayern München II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
MSV Duisburg
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.5%
Win probability
Bayern München II
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
MSV Duisburg
+14%
-23%
Bayern München II

ELO progression

MSV Duisburg
Bayern München II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Nov. 2019
HAL
Hallescher FC
1 - 0
MSV Duisburg
MSV
41%
26%
34%
67 66 1 0
25 Nov. 2019
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 1
Viktoria Köln
VIK
61%
21%
18%
67 58 9 0
14 Nov. 2019
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 1
De Graafschap
GRA
39%
23%
38%
67 69 2 0
09 Nov. 2019
ROS
Hansa Rostock
1 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
34%
27%
40%
67 63 4 0
04 Nov. 2019
MSV
MSV Duisburg
2 - 0
KFC Uerdingen 05
KFC
65%
20%
15%
66 58 8 +1

Matches

Bayern München II
Bayern München II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2019
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
57%
22%
21%
58 53 5 0
24 Nov. 2019
MUN
1860 München
1 - 1
Bayern München II
BAY
43%
25%
32%
58 59 1 0
14 Nov. 2019
BAY
Bayern München II
1 - 4
FC Augsburg
AUG
14%
20%
66%
58 78 20 0
10 Nov. 2019
BAY
Bayern München II
2 - 1
Magdeburg
MAG
27%
26%
47%
57 67 10 +1
03 Nov. 2019
MEP
SV Meppen
5 - 3
Bayern München II
BAY
50%
24%
26%
58 60 2 -1