Nouadhibou vs Garde Nationale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+67%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nouadhibou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AST
0 - 1
NOU
17%
21%
63%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2024 |
NOU
0 - 0
ALH
41%
24%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
KFC
0 - 0
NOU
37%
26%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
NOU
0 - 0
ALM
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
NOU
0 - 1
GEN
51%
23%
26%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Garde Nationale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GDN
1 - 3
TEV
29%
26%
45%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2024 |
GDN
0 - 3
FCN
74%
16%
10%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
IDN
2 - 1
GDN
59%
22%
20%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
GDN
0 - 2
ACD
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SNI
1 - 0
GDN
42%
27%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |