Motor Clube vs Alegre e Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
75.2%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
MCL
87%
10%
4%
|
7 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MCL
0 - 8
MAR
8%
16%
76%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BOA
3 - 2
MCL
87%
10%
4%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MCL
1 - 2
OUT
9%
16%
75%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ILH
3 - 0
MCL
86%
10%
4%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Alegre e Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
AEU
2 - 0
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 1
AEU
66%
18%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
AEU
0 - 0
BOA
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
OUT
2 - 1
AEU
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AEU
2 - 0
ILH
48%
23%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |