Série D Brazil Ronda final. Last 16
Global 2-5
Moto Club MA vs América RN analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
MOT
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MOT
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
CAS
33%
25%
42%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 0
TOC
76%
15%
10%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GUA
4 - 2
MOT
45%
27%
29%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
América RN
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 0
MOT
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
ITA
0 - 2
ARN
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
ARN
1 - 1
ITA
59%
22%
19%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
CEN
2 - 1
ARN
20%
25%
55%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ARN
0 - 0
CAM
58%
22%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |