Motherwell vs Falkirk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
CWB
0 - 0
MHE
34%
25%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
MHE
3 - 0
HIB
80%
13%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
QUE
0 - 3
MHE
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
MHE
2 - 0
AIR
70%
17%
14%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
AYR
3 - 2
MHE
28%
23%
49%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Falkirk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1929 |
FAL
2 - 3
HOM
41%
23%
36%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1929 |
CEL
7 - 0
FAL
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1929 |
CLY
1 - 2
FAL
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1929 |
FAL
1 - 1
AYR
70%
17%
13%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1929 |
HAM
0 - 2
FAL
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |