Mornar vs Lovcen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
28.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
BUD
3 - 0
MOR
67%
21%
12%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
SUT
1 - 1
MOR
62%
23%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 0
FKC
81%
14%
5%
|
58 | 25 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
MOR
3 - 1
BER
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
MLJ
1 - 1
MOR
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lovcen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LOV
1 - 1
SUT
29%
29%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
GRB
0 - 1
LOV
64%
22%
14%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BAK
2 - 1
LOV
65%
20%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
LOV
2 - 1
KOM
31%
25%
45%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2018 |
KOM
0 - 0
LOV
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |