Moreland Zebras vs Mornington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
10.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreland Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
DAN
0 - 1
MZA
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MZA
1 - 1
BCS
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
HEU
4 - 0
MZA
70%
17%
14%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HUM
1 - 2
MZA
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
MZA
4 - 1
HEU
41%
23%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +3 |
Matches
Mornington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
MSC
2 - 0
BCS
69%
17%
15%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MSC
4 - 1
PST
42%
22%
36%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MSC
2 - 0
CCF
69%
17%
14%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MSC
1 - 2
MPE
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
MSC
2 - 1
MAL
56%
20%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |