Morecambe vs Newport County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MOR
2 - 1
SOU
32%
27%
41%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
PLY
5 - 0
MOR
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
MOR
1 - 1
OXF
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
EXE
1 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
MOR
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Newport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
2 - 1
NEW
43%
25%
32%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 0
FLE
50%
25%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 2
SCU
37%
27%
37%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 2
AFC
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
NEW
0 - 1
CHE
56%
23%
20%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |