Morecambe vs Exeter City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
MAC
0 - 1
MOR
45%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 0
CHE
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
MOR
63%
21%
16%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
MOR
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MOR
0 - 2
GRI
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Exeter City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
OLD
0 - 0
EXE
40%
26%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 1
SWI
46%
26%
28%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
COV
4 - 1
EXE
42%
26%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
STE
0 - 1
EXE
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
EXE
1 - 0
MAC
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |