Mordovia Saransk vs Torpedo Pavlovo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.5%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mordovia Saransk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
KHI
1 - 0
MOR
24%
24%
53%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 2
ENE
71%
17%
12%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
VNN
0 - 2
MOR
42%
25%
34%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
MOR
1 - 0
VNN
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
FCM
2 - 1
MOR
26%
25%
49%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
Matches
Torpedo Pavlovo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
TOR
2 - 1
DIV
55%
24%
22%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
TOR
1 - 0
KHI
49%
26%
25%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2001 |
ENE
2 - 1
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
TOR
1 - 1
VNN
30%
26%
44%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
VNN
1 - 0
TOR
66%
20%
14%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |