Moraña vs Arcade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 2
MOR
16%
20%
64%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
MOR
4 - 2
USD
83%
11%
5%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ZAC
0 - 3
MOR
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
CAM
2 - 2
MOR
17%
21%
62%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 1
CUN
69%
17%
14%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arcade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAM
45%
25%
30%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
CUN
3 - 0
ARC
41%
24%
35%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ARC
0 - 0
UDE
38%
24%
38%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
AMA
1 - 1
ARC
42%
24%
34%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
ARC
4 - 1
MAT
42%
24%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |