Moralo vs Castuera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
COR
0 - 1
MOR
53%
23%
24%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 2
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EXT
0 - 2
MOR
22%
21%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
CPC
20%
24%
56%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
DBN
1 - 0
MOR
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castuera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
PLA
5 - 2
CAS
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
3 - 2
COR
14%
21%
65%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
2 - 2
CAS
67%
19%
14%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 2
EXT
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CPC
2 - 0
CAS
79%
15%
6%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |