Montevideo Wanderers vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
REN
2 - 2
MWA
55%
24%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
MWA
1 - 3
JUN
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ROC
3 - 1
MWA
53%
24%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
NAC
5 - 1
MWA
69%
19%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
RIV
0 - 0
MWA
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
CSC
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
PEÑ
0 - 0
NAC
47%
24%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
PLA
3 - 0
PEÑ
14%
22%
63%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
PEÑ
2 - 7
DAN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
JUN
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |