Montevideo Wanderers vs Cerrito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
15%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
15.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
1 - 0
MWA
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2022 |
MWA
0 - 2
PEÑ
22%
27%
51%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
4 - 0
MWA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 1
MWA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MWA
1 - 0
REN
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Cerrito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 0
ALB
30%
28%
42%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 1
CSC
71%
19%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
0 - 0
TOR
16%
20%
64%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 2
DEF
20%
27%
54%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
CSC
75%
19%
7%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |